IGF-1 for Premature Infant Eye Disease Shows No Clear Benefit in Small Trials
A Cochrane review of two RCTs finds very low-certainty evidence that IGF-1 neither prevents nor worsens retinopathy of prematurity in extremely preterm infants.
Summary
Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a leading cause of childhood blindness in premature infants. IGF-1, a growth factor that normally supports retinal vessel development in the womb, drops sharply after preterm birth — potentially triggering abnormal vessel growth. This Cochrane systematic review pooled data from two randomized controlled trials (140 total infants, 23–27 weeks gestational age) testing intravenous IGF-1 (mecasermin rinfabate) against standard care. Results showed no statistically significant effect on ROP development at any severity level, and a possible signal of increased serious adverse events in the larger trial. All findings were rated very low certainty due to small sample sizes and high risk of bias in both studies.
Detailed Summary
Retinopathy of prematurity is a potentially blinding disorder affecting the developing retinas of extremely premature infants. Normal retinal vascularization depends heavily on insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1), which is supplied transplacentally during fetal life. When infants are born before 28 weeks' gestation, IGF-1 levels plummet, and the resulting growth factor deficiency is hypothesized to disrupt the orderly progression of retinal vessel growth — setting the stage for the pathological neovascularization that defines ROP. The therapeutic rationale for postnatal IGF-1 supplementation is therefore biologically compelling: restore circulating IGF-1 to in utero levels and potentially interrupt ROP pathogenesis before it begins.
This 2026 Cochrane systematic review (updated from a 2018 protocol) searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Epistemonikos, and major clinical trial registries through March 10, 2025. Eligibility was restricted to randomized controlled trials, cluster-RCTs, and quasi-RCTs comparing IGF-1 to standard care or placebo in preterm infants. Only two studies met inclusion criteria: a two-center RCT enrolling 19 infants and a 20-center RCT enrolling 121 infants, both conducted between 2011 and 2016 in Europe and North America. Both trials enrolled infants at 23 weeks to 27 weeks 6 days gestational age and administered intravenous IGF-1 as mecasermin rinfabate starting on day one of life, with follow-up extending through 40 weeks' postmenstrual age and, in some cases, five to six years of age.
For the primary outcome of Type 1 ROP or ROP requiring treatment, pooled analysis of 116 infants showed a risk ratio of 0.94 (95% CI 0.38–2.35; P=0.90; I²=0%), meaning IGF-1 treatment had no detectable effect compared to standard care. For ROP of stage 3 or greater, the RR was 1.27 (95% CI 0.61–2.65; P=0.52), and for ROP of any severity the RR was 1.30 (95% CI 0.94–1.80; P=0.12). None of these results reached statistical significance, and all were rated very low certainty by GRADE assessment.
Safety signals were more concerning. Pooled analysis of serious adverse events (SAEs) across both studies (140 infants) yielded an RR of 1.18 (95% CI 0.94–1.47; P=0.15; I²=65%), which was not statistically significant. However, a pre-specified post-hoc sensitivity analysis restricted to the larger 121-infant RCT found a statistically significant increase in SAEs with IGF-1: RR 1.28 (95% CI 1.01–1.62; P=0.05), risk difference 0.17 (95% CI 0.01–0.33; P=0.04), with a number needed to harm of approximately 5.9. Mortality data from the larger trial showed an RR of 1.69 (95% CI 0.71–3.99; P=0.23), and hypoglycemia rates were identical between groups (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.62–1.63; P=0.99).
The authors assessed all outcomes as very low certainty using GRADE, citing two primary concerns: the extremely small total enrollment (140 infants across both trials) and high risk of bias in two domains for each included study. Both trials were also industry-funded, raising additional concerns about potential conflicts of interest. The review concludes that current evidence is insufficient to draw any conclusions about IGF-1's efficacy or safety for ROP prevention or treatment in preterm infants, and that larger, well-designed, independently funded trials are needed before this intervention can be recommended or definitively ruled out.
Key Findings
- No significant effect on Type 1 ROP or ROP requiring treatment: RR 0.94 (95% CI 0.38–2.35; P=0.90) across 2 RCTs, 116 infants
- No significant effect on ROP ≥ stage 3: RR 1.27 (95% CI 0.61–2.65; P=0.52), very low certainty
- No significant effect on ROP of any severity: RR 1.30 (95% CI 0.94–1.80; P=0.12), very low certainty
- Sensitivity analysis of larger RCT (n=121) showed significantly increased serious adverse events with IGF-1: RR 1.28 (95% CI 1.01–1.62; P=0.05), NNTH ~5.9
- Mortality trend toward harm in larger trial: RR 1.69 (95% CI 0.71–3.99; P=0.23), not statistically significant
- Hypoglycemia rates identical between IGF-1 and control groups: RR 1.00 (95% CI 0.62–1.63; P=0.99)
- All outcomes rated very low certainty by GRADE; both studies had high risk of bias in two domains and were industry-funded
Methodology
This Cochrane systematic review searched 8 databases and 3 clinical trial registries through March 2025, identifying 2 eligible parallel-group RCTs (n=19 and n=121) enrolling extremely preterm infants (23–27+6 weeks GA) who received IV IGF-1 as mecasermin rinfabate from day 1 of life versus standard care. Dichotomous outcomes were analyzed using risk ratio and risk difference with 95% CIs via fixed-effect meta-analysis; heterogeneity was assessed with I². Risk of bias was evaluated using the Cochrane RoB 1 tool, and evidence certainty was graded using GRADE.
Study Limitations
The review is severely limited by only two small trials totaling 140 infants, providing insufficient statistical power to detect clinically meaningful differences in ROP outcomes. Both included studies carried high risk of bias in two domains each and were industry-funded, raising concerns about reporting bias and generalizability. The authors note that the available evidence cannot rule out either meaningful benefit or meaningful harm from IGF-1 treatment in this vulnerable population.
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